Oklahoma State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
99  Kaela Edwards SR 20:02
108  Michelle Magnani FR 20:04
230  Aurora Dybedokken JR 20:23
237  Molly Sughroue JR 20:24
344  Savannah Camacho JR 20:39
431  Anna Boyert SR 20:49
449  Abbie Hetherington JR 20:50
850  Kaytlyn Larson SO 21:22
886  Kaylee Dodd JR 21:24
943  Gintare Zenkeviciute SR 21:28
1,094  Natalie Baker SR 21:38
1,215  Emily Helms JR 21:45
1,560  Jenny Celis SO 22:07
National Rank #27 of 344
Midwest Region Rank #2 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 68.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 3.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 27.0%


Regional Champion 23.0%
Top 5 in Regional 97.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kaela Edwards Michelle Magnani Aurora Dybedokken Molly Sughroue Savannah Camacho Anna Boyert Abbie Hetherington Kaytlyn Larson Kaylee Dodd Gintare Zenkeviciute Natalie Baker
OSU Cowboy Jamboree 09/24 1012 20:47 20:50 20:46 20:51 21:37 21:24 21:26 21:37
Penn State National Open 10/14 688 20:14 20:09 20:13 20:31 20:59 21:05 21:17 21:15 21:39 21:58
Big 12 Championship 10/29 539 20:08 19:46 20:15 20:23 20:32 20:48 20:28 21:16 21:37 21:19
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 577 19:58 20:08 20:12 20:23 20:38 20:42 21:21





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 68.0% 21.4 518 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.6 1.2 1.6 2.2 1.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.6 3.4 4.3 4.9 4.4 3.9 4.3 4.7 4.2 3.4 3.0 2.3 1.9
Region Championship 100% 2.4 94 23.0 40.0 19.7 10.1 5.2 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaela Edwards 72.0% 86.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3
Michelle Magnani 71.8% 90.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Aurora Dybedokken 68.1% 151.8 0.1
Molly Sughroue 68.1% 153.5
Savannah Camacho 68.0% 191.8
Anna Boyert 68.0% 211.6
Abbie Hetherington 68.0% 213.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaela Edwards 7.9 0.9 2.9 7.5 8.1 8.4 8.2 7.8 7.7 6.6 6.3 5.5 4.5 4.1 3.7 3.2 2.3 2.0 2.1 1.3 1.9 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6
Michelle Magnani 8.5 0.4 2.0 6.4 6.8 7.6 8.6 6.9 8.0 7.1 6.2 5.3 5.8 4.8 4.3 3.3 3.2 2.4 2.1 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.5
Aurora Dybedokken 19.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.7 1.6 2.5 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.7 5.2 4.2 4.5 4.3 3.9 4.0 3.2 3.2
Molly Sughroue 20.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.7 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.5 3.4 4.3 4.0 3.6 4.1 4.4 3.7 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.6
Savannah Camacho 33.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.3 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.5
Anna Boyert 43.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.8
Abbie Hetherington 45.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 23.0% 100.0% 23.0 23.0 1
2 40.0% 100.0% 40.0 40.0 2
3 19.7% 20.9% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 15.6 4.1 3
4 10.1% 8.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.2 0.9 4
5 5.2% 1.9% 0.1 0.1 5.1 0.1 5
6 1.7% 1.7 6
7 0.3% 0.3 7
8 0.2% 0.2 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 68.0% 23.0 40.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.0 32.0 62.9 5.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 99.2% 1.0 1.0
West Virginia 27.1% 2.0 0.5
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Kansas 5.6% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Texas 2.2% 2.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0